This weekend, we have a 12-fight card in Russia. DraftKings has some solid contests for us to acquire a lot of cash from this week considering it is a more compact card and starts at 10:15am ET. The main GPP is a $15 buy and $25k goes to 1st place with a total of $100k being paid out. They also have a brand new Qualifier for $175,000. There will be 100 qualifiers for that competition and they’ll compete for a $50k first place cost and $175k will be spread out between all 100 admissions that match. I will try to receive my 2nd and 3rd seats this week if at all possible. Those Qualifier only contests can be actual bankroll suckers so be careful chasing those too hard. I will probably stick to the top GPP this week and toss 100 or so entries at that $25k prize, and then I will likely have a couple shots at the Q. I will also be posting H2Hs in addition to picking up H2Hs throughout the week to get a good quantity of drama into cash games.
With that said, let us get to a couple plays I like this week Together with my fade of the week:
Cash Game play of this week — Roxanne Modafferi — $6,900
I don’t think there are any money locks this week, so I needed to bring a money strategy I use a lot of the moment, which is punting in cash and accepting a reduction. I really don’t believe Roxy gets the win , but she’s only $6.9k and that I believe she gets 15-minutes of actions. I like the flooring which comes with that and punting along with her cheap price allows us to fit in more of those higher favorites with our other 5 spots. We do not want 6 wins in cash games, so I don’t think we need to even try for it. I enjoy playing money games safer and if I can lock 25-35 points in a loss from Roxy at her cheap price I’m totally okay with that. I always look for 4 wins in cash and over 350-400 DK points. That’s my goal weekly. Let everyone else make the errors and just shoot for a score which may beat 50 percent or more of the area.
GPP play of the week — Alistair Overeem — $8,900
This is an all-in struggle for GPPs in my view and I like Overeem as one of my best plays of the week. Oleinik took this fight on short notice so that I would be amazed to see this move all 5 rounds. In addition, I believe Overeem will be too quick for him to get takedowns, and Overeem is amounts ahead of him in the game that is spectacular. The sole shooter Oleinik has of winning on the feet is by landing a haymaker and knocking Overeem out. Or, get a standing entry. Other than those two results, Overeem will smoke on the toes. In addition, I think Overeem can work his way back to his toes if he’s taken down and the more Oleinik shoots takedowns the quicker he will gas out. I enjoy the -175 ITD lineup which is included with Overeem here and I believe he gets a finish in round 2 or 1. That should give us near 100 DK points if not more, and I want that in a lot of my GPP lineups.
Underdog drama of this week — Rafael Fiziev — $7,700
Fiziev is no more the underdog on the gambling line (-120) however DraftKings salaries do not change once they’re released. We receive Fiziev here for 800 less costly than Mustafaev and he is preferred to get the win. I was very impressed by what I saw out of this kid and I agree with all the line movement. I really do think he has the win here, but it is the DK worth that we would like to be sure to get exposure to this weekend. I think he’s a great play cash games with the present value and that I hope to be overweight on him GPPs too. We have to roster underdogs in our lineups and when we could use a popular as among these”underdogs” I am usually on board for that.
Fade of this week — Antonina Shevchenko ($9,300)
Antonina Shevchenko is my fade of the week for her $9.3k price tag. I do think she has the win here since I mentioned previously, I simply don’t see how she’ll pay off that wages with no finish. I really don’t see her shooting any takedowns in this match, and I don’t wish to rely on her obtaining knockdown points either. Thus, we’re only likely to be receiving 0.5 points each significant attack, and then the 30-point win bonus when she wins a choice. If this is the case, we would want her to property over 126 sig strikes just to secure more than 10x value. I really don’t see that being true and that I think she likely scores 80-85 DK points at a decision triumph. At her salary, that will not win anybody the big $25k. That is the prize I’m shooting so that’s why she is my fade of the week.
Thank you for reading this and good luck this weekend! If You’d like my own full-card breakdown at which I breakdown every struggle about the card and provide my full DraftKings evaluation, as well as all my pick predictions, then you can find that for only $7.99 at this link below:
(Premium stakes are available at that link as well. I’m 69-41 to get +237.39un (+$23,739) because May 19th, 2018 on Premium Plays)
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