Cleveland comes weekly 12, stuck in an unending cycle of drama and distraction, following what would have been a motivational victory over a divisional rival – that the Browns, along with the help of DE Myles Garrett – were somehow able to disgrace themselves even in success, with all the last-minute antics from the last seconds of last weeks game versus the Steelers. Nevertheless, somehow – this Browns team has a realistic route to a playoff place in the AFC. They go 12 match versus Miami on Sunday, looking to move past the circus which has been week 11. End a thriving homestand, which theyve gone far in and also the Browns hope to build momentum off.
The Browns QB Baker Mayfield says that his staff is going to be centered on the job at hand this Sunday, and that his team has not allow – gain into their locker room. Mayfield, who threw 12 interceptions in his first seven matches this year, has dropped back big time because then, throwing for five TDs without a pick in his past three. WR Jarvis Landry has been in a position to get to the end zone in his past 3 games led into the week 12 meeting with his former group. As for the ground game, the Browns have leaned on Nick Chubb. Chubbs 1011 rushing yards is third-best from the league and is going into this match against a Miami team thats 31st in the NFL in rush defense, allowing 148.3 yards rushing per game.
Besides the obvious black mark that Myles Garrett has left around the Browns season. Garrets reduction is an one to deal with going forward. The former #1 draft pick had been tied for 4th in the NFL and was tied for sixth in the NFL. Additionally, the Browns will likely be without defensive tackle Larry Ogunjobi, that was likewise suspended (1 game) because of his participation in the fighting incident a week. Ogunjobi is a bit of this Browns defense.
The winning streak of the Dolphin and its passing fulfilled last Sunday, dropping to Buffalo 37-20.
Miamis offensive line was shaky and let seven sacks, along with the floor attack gaining 23 yards throughout the game. The Dolphins will look to bounce back out of that functionality, and see themselves that is win/loss record isnt indicative of the group they are currently. 1st round pick DeVante Parker is a shining light in a darkened room. Parker had a showing vs Buffalo per week 11 and is sitting with 40 receptions for 604 yards this year. Search for Parker to remain a force at the Dolphins offense.
So far as the game goes to the Dolphins, it is somewhat obsolete. Miamis lead choice at running back, Kalen Ballage went for 9 yards on 9 attempts a week in Buffalo, his season average has fallen now to 1.9 yards per carry. An abysmal number that we might see improve against a Cleveland defense that has fought to guard the rush. To make matters worse, the Dolphins secondary took a hit this week this week, because safeties Reshad Jones and Bobby McCain have been placed on IR. This leaves yardage to be generated by a unique chance for the Browns from the ground, while possibly having the ability to find openings against a defense that is currently a thinning discovered.
Under @ Home: 3-2
TeamRankings.com has Cleveland as the #18 team in the NFL and contains Miami since the worst-rated team in 32. According to these numbers, the TeamRankings.com electricity rating has Cleveland since 16pts greater than Miami on their home field. In addition to being the worst-rated staff at the markets. When it comes to the typical scoring margin miami is also the team in the NFL. The Dolphins sit at #32 with the average final score allowance of -16.6. Cleveland sits in #24 in that category with the average final score margin of -3.6
Defensively, the Dolphins are amazingly not rated because the worst defense in the NFL. That name is reserved that the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. Although, Miami will sit since the 2nd worst defense in the group, with a 19.6% defensive performance rating.
Cleveland is ranked as the 18 defense in the league, so they let about 50 fewer yards per game than Miami and having an average allowed stage full of 22.8. The Browns allow about 8 points less a game than Miami . Based on my defensive performance evaluations (through SparkSports.ca) I have the Browns as approximately 10pts better compared to the Dolphins in their home field.
This line started as Cleveland -11 and has since moved down a tick to Cleveland -10.5. I believe that Cleveland inability to score in the red zone may be what costs them the cover . I have little faith in this group to pull on margin when they return to a good start.
So far as the complete goes, these two teams combine for an average of 53.3 points allowed per game. Together with the whole opening in 44.5 and since moving around 45, I feel that there might be some value about the below in this , especially if the industry is expecting both groups to generate points. When in fact, the Browns struggle to capitalize on opportunities when it counts, along with the Dolphins have done a great job lately of keeping games within reach down the stretch. It is also worth mentioning that these two teams have hit to the below at a 60% up to Now this season (6-4)
As for me, I believe Miami stays within the number here. The pressure is mounting around the Browns and whether they do not return to a start in this one, the audience may turn fast. If Miami could hang around and keep this one close, there will be an unbearable sense of dread inside First Energy Stadium on Sunday afternoon, and I believe it is. Give me the fish plus the points. Together with confidence!
Score Prediction: Cleveland 27-17
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